The small nature of the storm continues to make it very susceptible to rapid changes in intensity (positive or negative) while also limiting the amount of swell production. The storm is located about 1,140 miles southeast of the Lesser Antilles with winds of 75 mph.
This morning's advisory said: "Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 75 miles per hour (120 km/h) with higher gusts, but recent satellite images suggest that Beryl is becoming less organised".
"Beryl is expected to move westward and eventually it's gonna run into wind shear and start to weaken as it reaches the Antilles", said Dave Loewenthal, forecaster with the National Weather Service in Wilmington, N.C. On this forecast track, Beryl will remain east of the Lesser Antilles through Sunday.
A system of showers and storms that was hundreds of miles off the Carolinas coast got organized enough to be classified as a depression. NHC's forecast cone puts Beryl's future track over Puerto Rico and the island of Hispaniola between 8 a.m. Monday and 8 a.m. Tuesday. The depression should slow down and meander of well offshore of the coast of North Carolina through Monday. It is expected to pass near Dominica and the French Caribbean islands of Guadeloupe and Martinique late Sunday or Monday.
Projected path of Hurricane Beryl.
The storm is heading west-northwestward towards the Lesser Antilles at a fairly slow pace but is expected to gain forward momentum through the weekend.
Residents of Dominica have been advised to monitor Hurricane Beryl as the system has gained some strength. Lojero also warned that the storm is expected to dump up to four inches (10 centimeters) of rain and could unleash landslides.
The storm downgraded from a category one hurricane around 11 a.m. Saturday. Forecasters say it is unlikely to have much impact on the island, which is still recovering from the devastation of Hurricane Maria past year.
Earlier this week, the tropical meteorology research team at Colorado State University (CSU) Department of Atmospheric Sciences made adjustments to the original Atlantic Hurricane season forecast released back in early April.